Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
According to data from the National Institute of Statistics (INE) published on Monday, the household savings rate has reached 14.2%, marking its highest level in three years. This figure reveals a significant increase compared to the third quarter of 2023, when the rate stood at 12.8%. This notable rise highlights a shift in consumer behavior, as households appear to prioritize saving over spending, a phenomenon that does not go unnoticed in a context of economic uncertainty. Detailing the figures, it is observed that the gross disposable income of households grew by 18.019 billion euros, representing an increase of 8.2%, reaching a total of 237.811 billion euros. This growth in disposable income, along with moderated spending, has contributed to an improvement in families' saving capacity. In the third quarter, households spent 221.243 billion euros, 6.6% more than in the same period of the previous year, but this increase in spending was outpaced by the growth in disposable income. The accumulated savings during this quarter reached 16.997 billion euros, which represents an increase of 5.032 billion compared to the same period in 2023. This savings translates into a financing capacity of 398 million euros, contrasting with the 3.217 billion euros in financing needs estimated in the third quarter of last year. This trend indicates that households are in a stronger economic position, which could signal greater stability in the future. On the other hand, non-financial corporations also showed robust financing capacity, reaching 1.790 billion euros this quarter, a notable increase from the 134 million euros of the previous year. This improvement in corporate financing capacity suggests that companies are experiencing a more favorable environment, which could lead to increased investments and an expansion of economic activity in the near future. Regarding public administrations, the financing capacity increased by 0.1% year-on-year to 9.318 billion euros, which also reflects an improvement in public accounts. This positive financing landscape across various sectors of the economy indicates that the country might be on a path toward more sustainable and balanced growth. Overall, the quarter closed with a gross national income of 391.297 billion euros and a gross national disposable income of 387.069 billion euros. The figures reflect an economy that, despite challenges, continues to show signs of strength and recovery capability. After eliminating seasonal and calendar effects, both incomes grew by 1.4% compared to the second quarter of 2024. Additionally, it is relevant to mention that the national economy recorded a financing capacity against the rest of the world of 19.407 billion euros in the third quarter, representing 4.9% of the GDP for the period. This percentage, along with the national economy's financing capacity standing at 4.2% of GDP, highlights that the country has a favorable flow of resources that could be leveraged to further strengthen its economy. The increase in the savings rate could be interpreted in various ways. On one hand, it may indicate greater caution among consumers, who prefer to accumulate reserves in the face of economic uncertainty. On the other hand, it could also be a sign of confidence in long-term economic stability, leading families to prepare for future investments or expenses. In summary, the INE data provides an encouraging outlook on the financial health of households and the economy in general. As we move into the coming quarters, it will be crucial to observe how these trends of saving and investment develop and what impact they will have on the country's economic recovery. The ability of households to save and the improvements in corporate financing suggest that, although the path to full recovery may be long, there are signs that progress is being made in the right direction.