Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
In an increasingly tense and polarized electoral context, a recent poll from Suffolk University has revealed that Vice President Kamala Harris has taken a clear lead among Latino voters, surpassing her rival, former President Donald Trump, by 16 percentage points. This trend has solidified since President Biden announced his decision not to run again and chose to nominate Harris as his candidate. The study, conducted between August 25 and 28 across all U.S. states and the District of Columbia, surveyed 1,000 registered voters. The results indicate that Harris has 47.6% support compared to Trump’s 43.3%, reflecting a significant shift in the electoral dynamic. David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, emphasized that this change in voting intention has been particularly pronounced among young people, people of color, and low-income households, who have drastically shifted towards Harris. One of the most notable groups in this change is young voters aged 18 to 34. In a surprising turn, what was previously an 11-point advantage for Trump in June has transformed into a 13-point preference for Harris in August. This change represents a swing of 24 points in just two months, suggesting significant discontent among youth regarding Trump’s policies and persona. Harris’s support has also notably strengthened among low-income voters. In June, Trump led this group by 3 points, but now the Vice President has achieved a 23-point difference. This shift is a clear indicator of how economic and social policies are resonating with a population that feels increasingly vulnerable. The situation is similar among African American voters, a group that has traditionally aligned with the Democratic Party. Harris has seen a 17-point increase in support within this demographic, highlighting the importance of her candidacy not only to galvanize the Democratic base but also to attract sectors that may have considered Trump in the past. Despite these encouraging numbers for Harris’s campaign, undecided voters remain a crucial group in this electoral contest. According to the poll, 4.8% of voters have yet to decide on a candidate, which could significantly influence the outcome of the elections scheduled for November 5. Harris’s ability to connect with this electorate will be key to consolidating her advantage. The change in public perception has also been influenced by the narrative surrounding migration, a topic that has seen strong attacks against Harris. However, her ability to articulate an inclusive vision centered on human rights may be gaining traction among Latino voters, who see her candidacy as more aligned with their interests and needs. It is important to note that the poll has a margin of error of +/-3.1 points, indicating that while the numbers are promising for Harris, the electoral race is far from decided. The dynamics can change rapidly in the context of debates, campaigns, and unforeseen events that could alter the landscape. In conclusion, Vice President Kamala Harris has managed to consolidate significant support among Latino voters and other key groups in this electoral race. As the elections approach, the candidates’ ability to connect with undecided voters and maintain mobilization of their bases will be crucial in determining the political direction of the country. The upcoming debate and campaign season will be fundamental in shaping the future of American politics.