Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
In recent years, the United States has experienced a remarkable surge in the production and use of renewable energy, reaching nearly 30% of its total electric capacity. This growth has been largely driven by federal incentives, particularly through tax credits that have allowed companies to invest in clean energy and sustainable technologies. However, this progress has not been without controversy, as it has become a point of contention between the two main political parties in the country, raising questions about the future of renewable energy in the context of the upcoming elections. The "Inflation Reduction Act" (IRA), one of the most ambitious initiatives of the Biden administration, was passed exclusively with the support of the Democratic Party. Despite its name, the IRA significantly focuses on combating climate change by investing up to a trillion dollars in projects aimed at reducing carbon dioxide emissions. This legislation not only extends the duration of existing tax credits but also introduces new measures that benefit various sources of clean energy, reflecting a commitment to sustainability at the federal level. Among the highlights of the IRA are incentives for the manufacturing of electric vehicles, energy storage systems, and equipment that facilitates the transition to a greener economy. Additionally, a framework has been established that allows for adjustments in the value of tax credits based on compliance with certain criteria, which seeks to promote not only clean energy production but also economic development in disadvantaged areas. The impact of the IRA has been significant, with investment commitments exceeding $114 billion. However, the path to implementing these projects has faced challenges, including inflation, rising interest rates, and supply chain issues. These obstacles are concerning, but the greatest threat may be the political instability looming with the elections. Vice President Kamala Harris seems to align with Biden's vision for renewable energy, suggesting that if they win, their administration could continue the investment trajectory in this sector. On the other hand, former President Donald Trump has reiterated his preference for increasing hydrocarbon production and has expressed skepticism about the progress of renewable energy. Although he has distanced his stance from the radical "Agenda 2025," his opposition to the IRA is clear, which could lead to a setback in the progress achieved. It is likely that even if Trump returns to the White House and Republicans regain control of Congress, the IRA will not be completely repealed. Many of the projects benefiting from this law are located in districts where Republicans have a strong presence, which could complicate any attempts to fully dismantle the legislation. Nonetheless, the risk of partial changes is real, including imposing limits on tax incentives or reducing their duration. Additionally, the president could use his executive authority to slow down or block the implementation of certain programs, which would represent a significant obstacle to the country's energy transition. This could lead to a situation where, although no drastic changes to the law occur, administrative inaction could hinder progress in the renewable energy sector. As we approach the November elections, the business community and investors will be closely monitoring the outcomes. Any change in administration could lead to a standstill rather than a clear rollback, but political uncertainty may discourage new investments in the sector, affecting investor confidence and the future of the renewable energy industry in the United States. Therefore, the message is clear: the future of renewable energy in the country is intrinsically linked to the political decisions to be made in the coming months. The energy community and citizens must be prepared to act and advocate for policies that support the transition to a more sustainable economy, regardless of who is in power after November. The fight for a cleaner and more sustainable future is not just a matter of politics, but of collective responsibility toward future generations.