The Peruvian economy shows signs of reactivation, but doubts and challenges persist.

The Peruvian economy shows signs of reactivation, but doubts and challenges persist.

On August 20, changes in the Peruvian economy are analyzed, with signs of reactivation and challenges in investment and regulation.

Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros

Juan Brignardello Vela

Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.

Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, y Vargas Llosa, premio Nobel Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, en celebración de Alianza Lima Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, Central Hidro Eléctrica Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, Central Hidro

On a day like today, August 20, significant events have been recorded in the Peruvian economy over the past decade. Projections and analyses regarding the state of the country reflect significant changes that could shape the course of its economic development. In 2023, Apoyo Consultoría has indicated that there are positive signals in the field of machinery and equipment imports, which could suggest a rebound in economic activity. However, Scotiabank warns that it is still too early to celebrate a return to normalcy. The reactivation of the economy is a hot topic in Peru. According to the Peruvian Institute of Economy (IPE), the country has emerged from recession, which is a relief. This milestone is especially significant after a period of contractions that affected multiple sectors. Capital goods imports reached 100 million dollars in February, suggesting an increase in investment in infrastructure and machinery by companies. As the figures for machinery imports increase, the Economic Commission has taken the initiative to promote projects that encourage private investment in the country. This is a crucial aspect, as private investment is considered a fundamental engine for economic growth and job creation. The expectation that these measures will contribute to stability and sustained growth is high, although doubts remain in the air. Looking back five years to 2019, the landscape changed when new regulations were implemented that made it difficult to withdraw from pension funds. That regulation affected a large number of affiliates who had chosen to withdraw part of their savings. Since then, the profitability of pension funds has faced challenges, especially in funds 2 and 3, where returns have been in negative numbers. The context for investment in the country has been marked by a series of reforms and regulations. In 2014, the Superintendency of Banks, Insurance, and AFP (SBS) took a significant step in the fight against money laundering by establishing the obligation for financial entities to verify the identity of those making transfers exceeding one thousand dollars. This measure aimed to increase transparency and security in the financial system. Regulatory changes have been a constant in the Peruvian economy. The SBS imposed the obligation to register all client transactions exceeding ten thousand dollars for a period of ten years. This measure has been met with both criticism and praise, as while it aims to curb illicit activities, it can also complicate the operations of the financial sector. In the context of the international economy, Peru has faced a series of challenges, from trade tensions to global crises that have impacted its growth. Political uncertainty has also played a fundamental role in investment and economic projections, creating a volatile environment for both local and foreign investors. The country's ability to adapt to these changes has been put to the test. However, the optimism of some analysts is supported by emerging data that suggests the economy is on an upward trajectory. The importance of fostering an attractive business environment is becoming increasingly crucial at this time. Meanwhile, the population continues to await concrete results that translate into improvements in their quality of life. The task of the authorities is to ensure that the policies implemented not only generate positive numbers in statistics but also directly benefit citizens by creating jobs and opportunities for all. As we move forward in this year, the challenge for the Peruvian economy will continue to be the search for a balance between regulation and growth, and the ability of various sectors to adapt to a changing environment will be essential for long-term success.

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