"Banxico cuts interest rate and changes the outlook for Cetes in Mexico."

"Banxico cuts interest rate and changes the outlook for Cetes in Mexico."

Banxico cuts the interest rate to 10.75%, affecting the returns on Cetes, which forces investors to reevaluate their strategies.

Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros

Juan Brignardello Vela

Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.

Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, y Vargas Llosa, premio Nobel Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, en celebración de Alianza Lima Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, Central Hidro Eléctrica Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, Central Hidro

The recent decision by the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) to cut the interest rate has marked a turning point in the country’s financial landscape, ending a streak where Federal Treasury Certificates (Cetes) offered yields above 11%. This new reality has left investors uncertain about how to adjust their strategies in an environment where the profitability of government debt instruments has been affected. For over a year and a half, Cetes had positioned themselves as an attractive option for those seeking safety and good returns on their investments. However, the recent presidential auction reflects a downward trend in the profitability of these instruments. With the cut in the reference rate, 28-day Cetes have reported yields of 10.65%, while the yield for three-month Cetes is 10.80%. These figures represent a significant decrease compared to the previous levels that had captivated savers. The cut in the interest rate by 25 basis points to 10.75% has generated diverse reactions among economic analysts. Some highlight that this decision, although surprising, could be the first step toward a broader cycle of reductions that may extend in the coming months. The upward revision of inflation projections by Banxico adds a layer of complexity to this scenario, as inflation can significantly impact consumers' purchasing power and the stability of the real returns on investments. From the investors' perspective, the key question is how to adapt to this new normal. With yields below 11% now established, many are tempted to explore investment alternatives that may offer greater benefits. Portfolio diversification and the pursuit of riskier options could become the preferred strategy to offset the decline in Cetes' profitability. On the other hand, more conservative investors might choose to keep their funds in low-risk instruments, relying on the safety that Cetes provide, despite the lower yields. However, this could entail a significant opportunity cost, especially in a context where inflation remains a variable to closely monitor. As the Mexican economy navigates a declining interest rate environment, growth expectations and economic recovery become determining factors. Many analysts believe that if Banxico continues with its cutting strategy, it could stimulate investment and consumption, which in turn could contribute to a more robust recovery for the country. Investing in Cetes, although historically viewed as a safe option, will need to be reevaluated by many in this new context. The yields, while still competitive compared to other low-risk investment alternatives, no longer offer the same appeal as before. This could lead to a shift in the saving and investment behavior of Mexicans. In conclusion, the end of the era of yields above 11% in Cetes not only represents a change in government debt instruments but also reflects the need for investors to reconsider their strategies and seek to adapt to an evolving economic environment. The search for opportunities amid declining interest rates will be key to navigating this new financial landscape. With all this in mind, only time will tell how the market will adjust and what the new trends in the investment landscape in Mexico will be.

View All

The Latest In the world