Death of Iranian president unleashes political uncertainty and regional tensions

The sudden death of the President of Iran, Ebrahim Raisi, in a helicopter accident has plunged the country into a period of political uncertainty. Raisi, an ultraconservative who had been in power for three years, was considered one of the favorites to succeed the current Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. His death has raised questions about the continuity of the hardline policies he had been implementing and about who will take his place in this nation embroiled in internal conflicts and in a region shaken by the war in the Gaza Strip. The government of Iran declared five days of mourning for Raisi's death, highlighting his dedication and sacrifice for the nation. The citizens have been assured that there will be no disruptions in the administration of the country, although the disappearance of the president poses significant challenges at a crucial moment for the region. The Iranian Constitution states that the First Vice President, Mohammad Mokhber, will temporarily assume the presidency until a new election is held within a maximum period of 50 days, with the approval of the Supreme Leader. Mohammad Mokhber, 68, was appointed as the First Vice President by Raisi in August 2021 and is expected to take on the interim presidency. However, uncertainty remains about who will succeed Raisi as president, especially in a scenario where presidential elections are scheduled for June 28. These elections will be crucial in defining the country's political direction and determining who will lead a nation with a key role in the Middle East region. The succession of the Supreme Leader is also at stake, as Raisi was considered one of the main candidates to replace Khamenei. His unexpected death has left a void in terms of who could fill this crucial position in the Islamic Republic. The influence of figures like Mojtaba, the son of Ayatollah Khamenei, is emerging amid the uncertainty caused by Raisi's passing. Regarding Iranian diplomacy, a certain continuity is expected in the country's foreign policy, especially concerning the nuclear agreement and international relations. Analysts point out that strategic control will continue to be in the hands of Ayatollah Khamenei and the Supreme National Security Council, ensuring coherence in decisions amidst the challenges facing Iran. Raisi's death has coincided with a time of regional tensions, particularly with Israel, adding a layer of complexity to the political situation in Iran. The uncertainty about who will lead the country and the possible impact on the region pose significant challenges for a nation at a crucial point in its history. The political future of Iran, both domestically and in its foreign relations, will largely depend on the decisions made in the coming months and how the succession of Raisi in various positions of power in the country is carried out.