Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
The Peruvian economy showed encouraging signs in January, with a growth of 1.37%, according to the National Institute of Statistics and Informatics (INEI). This positive result, after several months of negative variations, has generated expectations about the country's economic performance in 2024. According to experts such as Isaac Foinquinos from Macroconsult and Teodoro Crisólogo from the Peruvian Institute of Economics (IPE), this increase is partly explained by a rebound effect and also by the dynamism in public investment at the beginning of the year. Although initial estimates pointed to a growth of 1.8%, the actual result has been slightly lower, but it shows a positive trend in sectors such as Construction, which has experienced significant growth. On the other hand, the annual report from INEI revealed a contraction of -0.38% in the period from February 2023 to January 2024, attributed to various negative factors from the previous year that are expected to be reversed in 2024. Crisólogo pointed out that while the annualized figures still do not show a return to positive rates, it is likely that the trend will begin to reverse in the coming months, especially with indicators such as the growth in electricity consumption and public investment. Growth projections for the first quarter of the year hover around 2%, driven by the rebound effect and the additional calendar day in February. Despite the high unemployment rate in Metropolitan Lima during the rolling quarter of December-January-February, specialists highlight dynamism in job creation, although with concerns about their quality. In summary, the economic outlook for 2024 shows positive signs of recovery, with key sectors such as Construction driving growth and public investment as an important engine. While the annual figures still reflect the impact of negative events from the previous year, the expectation is that the Peruvian economy will continue to strengthen in the coming months.