Political calm after week of changes: focus on 2026

After a hectic week in the political sphere, marked by changes in the Council of Ministers, important legislative decisions, and controversies in the National Council of Justice, calm has returned to the stage, pointing directly towards the horizon of 2026. Despite the multiple pending challenges, especially in terms of security, it seems that these issues are not occupying a prioritized place on the current political leadership's agenda. Although the landscape has remained mostly static, there are certain movements that deserve to be observed, being more noticeable in Parliament than in the Executive branch. Overall, as previously anticipated, the changes have been minimal. In the Executive sphere, political adjustments have been scarce, although relevant sectoral appointments have been highlighted, such as Juan Edgardo Narciso Chávez as the new president of the OEFA. However, it is expected that the newly appointed Prime Minister, Gustavo Adrianzén, will not make significant modifications to the Cabinet in the short term. The round of meetings with parliamentary and party leaders could provide a space to listen to requests, but it is unlikely that they will result in immediate changes. Regarding Adrianzén's leadership, a clear focus guiding his management has not yet been identified, generating uncertainty about the direction he will take. Resistance against controversial mining projects has been one of the few points of attention amidst this relative political calm. On the other hand, there have been some defections and new incorporations in Congress in recent weeks. The resignation of Wilson Quispe from the Peru Libre caucus has impacted the parliamentary composition, leaving the group with 11 seats and marking a total of 26 congressmen who have left this caucus. Currently, the group of "non-affiliated" congressmen consists of 20 members, while there are 11 caucuses in Parliament, figures unprecedented in the accounting of legislative movements. It is expected that these changes will intensify as the renewal of the Directing Board approaches in July, although support for the Executive is likely to remain stable. In summary, despite the possibility of movements in Congress and the Executive, the lack of incentives and the tendency towards immobility seem to prevail in the current political scenario. The question remains whether Gustavo Adrianzén will manage to establish a solid relationship with Parliament, but for now, political actors seem to be in a kind of lethargy that hinders the push for significant changes in the short term.