The world facing a possible return of Trump: Uncertainty and anticipation

The world is on edge at the possibility of Donald Trump returning to the White House. With a foreign policy marked by his charisma, impulsiveness, and transactional approach, Trump's potential re-election would be met with both anxiety and anticipation in different corners of the globe. During his previous term, Trump achieved notable successes in foreign policy, such as the revitalization of the North American Free Trade Agreement, the Abraham Accords, and a fairer burden-sharing within NATO. However, he would now face a completely different global landscape, with challenges including ongoing wars, a slowing China, a weakened global economy, and the rapid advance of artificial intelligence. Regarding China, a second Trump presidency could signal an even more confrontational approach in the rivalry with the Asian giant. Beijing's response to this more aggressive stance would be crucial in determining the course of bilateral relations and its implications globally. Concerning NATO, it is expected that Trump would weaken the transatlantic alliance by pressuring member countries to increase defense spending, a demand that many may not be able or willing to meet. This could raise doubts about the Trump administration's willingness to defend its allies in case of an attack, which could be exploited by adversaries like Russia. In the Middle East, Trump could play a more stabilizing role, especially following the Abraham Accords that normalized relations between Israel and some Arab countries. However, the recent escalation of violence in the region has jeopardized these advances, although his second term could revive the possibility of beneficial agreements for the region. Moreover, a potential second Trump administration would seek to close new deals on border security and trade policy, including possible negotiations with Mexico's incoming president, Claudia Sheinbaum. A renewed focus on relations with North Korea is also expected, with Trump being the only president willing to negotiate with Kim Jong-un. However, the uncertainty about the long-term reliability of U.S. foreign policy under a new Trump term is a cause for concern for the country's allies worldwide. His isolationist rhetoric and unpredictable style have had a profound impact on American political discourse, generating unease beyond national borders. In this scenario of uncertainty and geopolitical changes, the world awaits with anticipation the possible scenarios that would unfold if Donald Trump secures a second term, with his foreign policy being and continuing to be a subject of analysis and debate in the coming months.