Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
After a year of economic contraction, a horizon of recovery for the Peruvian economy in 2024 is glimpsed, with growth projections of 3% according to the Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF). Various sectors are emerging as key drivers of this recovery, according to the analysis shared by the consulting firm Macroconsult. The economist and partner at Macroconsult, Elmer Cuba, noted that a generalized improvement in several economic sectors is expected, although it is still premature to speak of a complete takeoff of economic activity. One of the sectors that will continue to be a driving force for the Peruvian economy is mining, especially driven by copper. Although growth is projected to moderate compared to previous years, copper and gold would continue to be prominent products in the country's exports. Regarding the fishing activity, a significant growth of 17.5% is expected, driven by a rebound effect following the previous year's decline. The presence of a low-intensity El Niño phenomenon is shaping up as a favorable factor for a successful campaign in this sector. The agricultural sector would also experience a rebound, with a growth projection of 2.6% due to the weakening of El Niño. After an atypical 2023 marked by a contraction of 3.3%, better results are expected in agricultural production. In the services sector, a growth of 2.4% is highlighted, with significant advances in tourism (15.3%) and logistics (5.1%). Despite the challenges faced in 2023, a strong expansion is expected in the tourism sector, with the possibility of approaching pre-pandemic levels. On the other hand, construction, vital for job creation, is estimated to stabilize driven by public investment. The execution of works in local and regional governments will accelerate in its second year, which could contribute to a null growth after the fall of 2023. In the field of non-primary manufacturing, a recovery is projected that could reach pre-pandemic levels, with a growth of 2%. A growth of 3.1% is expected in the food and beverage branches, as well as a significant increase of 24.5% in clothing, in line with a recovery in family consumption. In summary, despite the challenges and uncertainties that persist, the economic outlook for Peru in 2024 shows encouraging signs of recovery in several key sectors, which could help boost growth and economic stability in the country in the coming months.