Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
We are entering the third year of war between Russia and Ukraine, a conflict that has left both countries devastated, thousands of lives lost, and cities destroyed. Despite international efforts and costly military equipment, the situation remains deadlocked, with no signs of a near resolution. Military strategy experts point out that the year 2024 could be another year of stalemate, with few advances from either side. However, there are factors that could tip the balance in favor of one of them, although they may not necessarily lead to a definitive solution to the conflict. One key factor lies in Western support for Ukraine. Approval of a aid package by the US Congress is crucial, but it is currently blocked by internal political disputes. While the European Union has also promised economic assistance, US support in terms of weaponry is essential for the Ukrainian army. The political situation in the United States also plays a crucial role, as the presidential elections could bring significant changes in the country's stance on the conflict. The possible re-election of Donald Trump would be seen as an advantage for Putin, strengthening Russia's position in the conflict. On one hand, Russia seems more comfortable with a war of attrition, having greater resources and a mentality of collective sacrifice. On the other hand, Ukraine is facing war fatigue and internal divisions that have weakened its position in the conflict. The weariness is also reflected in Western public opinion, where the perception of aid to Ukraine has been decreasing over time. However, resolving the conflict is crucial for international stability and security, especially for Europe. Despite the difficulties and challenges that arise, the possibility of negotiation in 2025 remains a distant goal. Peace in the region seems to be more conditioned by political will than by concrete military advances. Meanwhile, thousands of people continue to suffer the consequences of a conflict that seems endless.