Juan Brignardello Vela
Juan Brignardello Vela, asesor de seguros, se especializa en brindar asesoramiento y gestión comercial en el ámbito de seguros y reclamaciones por siniestros para destacadas empresas en el mercado peruano e internacional.
Donald Trump, the elected president of the United States, has denied a report from the Washington Post suggesting that his team was considering limiting his tariff plan to specific and critical imports. In a post on Truth Social, Trump stated that the newspaper's story, which is based on anonymous sources, was incorrect and that his tariff policy would not be scaled back. This denial underscores the tension surrounding his economic intentions as his inauguration approaches. The Washington Post article reported that Trump's advisors were discussing the possibility of imposing tariffs on selected products from all countries, focusing on those that raise national security or economic concerns. However, Trump opposes any suggestion that his ambitious tariff plan, which originally ranged from 10% to 20%, would be reduced. This potential shift in his strategy could have significant consequences for the U.S. economy and global trade dynamics. Economists warn that a reduction in universal tariffs could lead to an increase in consumer prices, causing distortions in international trade. The market's reaction was immediate, with the U.S. dollar experiencing an initial drop against other currencies, although it recovered some of its losses after Trump's clarification. Speculation about the new administration's economic policy has led investors to increase bets on rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The report also mentioned that Trump's discussions are focused on essential products, particularly those related to the economic and national security of the United States. This could include tariffs on critical materials for defense, as well as essential medical supplies, which have proven crucial during the COVID-19 pandemic. The focus on these sectors suggests that Trump is trying to bolster domestic production and reduce reliance on imports. However, there is also the question of how these plans will align with Trump’s other initiatives, such as imposing significant tariffs on specific products from China, Mexico, and Canada. These measures have been presented as part of his broader approach to addressing economic and trade issues, but the lack of clarity regarding their implementation has created uncertainty in the market. As Trump's inauguration approaches, tensions in the global trading system are palpable. Companies are being forced to quickly adapt to an uncertain environment, placing orders in advance and seeking new suppliers in anticipation of imminent changes to tariff policy. This has resulted in an increase in imports and a significant impact on supply chains. Bloomberg Economics' projection from last year anticipated multiple waves of tariff increases, with a particular focus on Chinese imports. According to this scenario, tariffs could triple by the end of 2026, which would have an impact on prices and inflation. Fears of such measures have led to a high degree of speculation, as well as a frantic search by companies to adapt to the new commercial realities. The uncertainty also extends to the Federal Reserve's future decisions, as rate cuts could be influenced by the implementation or lack thereof of a broader tariff program. Trump's actions have begun to have a tangible effect on the economy, creating a climate of anxiety among economic policymakers and business leaders. Ultimately, the current situation highlights the difficult task facing the Trump administration in formulating a coherent and effective trade policy. As the new president attempts to balance his desire to protect the U.S. economy and fulfill campaign promises, the ramifications of his decisions will be felt well beyond the country's borders. The business community and consumers will be closely watching the next steps and the policies that will be implemented in the immediate future.